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4-20-2009
As I write this blog the chances of the Chico State baseball team getting into the playoffs for a 14th straight year appear to be slim. But, Dominguez Hills and Cal State Los Angeles better be careful because like that sticker says at the bottom of your window mirror. "Objects in the rear-view mirror are closer than they appear."
The math is simple. Chico State has to catch either Cal State Dominguez Hills or Cal State LA with only eight games left. Chico must finish ahead of either one of these teams to wrestle away a post-season spot. They CAN NOT finish tied. They would lose the tie-breaker to both.
Chico needs to pick up three games on Dominguez Hills or five games on Cal State LA. Here are the three reasons why I think Chico State will make a run.
EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
This is college baseball. If you think you have figured it out, you are foolish. In my 13 years of calling Chico State baseball games I have seen everything imagineable happen. I have seen teams choke, I have seen teams suffer from pre-mature celebration, I have seen incredible comebacks, I have seen no-names turn into super-stars for one at-bat. I have seen it all.....including the 1998 Chico State Wildcats win 15 of 16 down the stretch to catch Sonoma and Davis and get into the West Regional. The final two weeks of the season will have many twists and turns and its unpredictable that is why we love this game so much.
TIME TO GO STREAKING
Every year since 1996 the Chico State baseball team has gone on a winning streak. Every team has had a streak that has propelled them up the CCAA standings. This Chico team has yet to have such a streak. Their longest is a 5 game win streak they had against Hawaii-Pacific. This team is too good not to have a lengthy winning streak. Honestly, this is one of the most talented teams to ever don the cardinal and white, several inferior Chico State squads have been able to muster a 10 or 11 game win streak. I just don't see this team NOT making a run. They are that proverbial racehorse who is making that turn down the home stretch.....and its time to apply the whip and hit their stride. I believe we will see that in the next 13 days.
THE TOROS AND EAGLES ARE....WELL THE TOROS AND EAGLES
I certainly don't want this leaking out and this is certainly not meant to denigrate either of these programs but, I EXPECT these two teams to get wide-eyed and pucker up down the stretch. They both have their destiny in their own hands. And, for a program that is not used to "meaningful" games it can be quite daunting. The game is not the same when so much is on the line. The strike zone shrinks for the pitching, the timing is off for the hitting.....and all of sudden the wheels start turning and the game becomes a struggle. I have seen it every single year. Teams that don't know how to play through the pressure. Dominguez has Monterey at home for four games. Monterey has won 5 conference games all year. Don't be surprised if the scrappy Otters make it very hard on the Toros. And, LA has Pomona. The Broncos of Pomona grind, they battle. And, if LA isn't careful Pomona could grind themselves into a series split.
Its a longshot. And, for Chico State baseball the playoffs begin Friday night. They shouldn't even care about what these other teams do. Chico doesn't need to go on an 8 game win streak. They need to go on 8 one-game win streaks. If the Cats start winning, they won't have to worry about Dominguez and LA because both of those teams will hear them coming. And, if those teams turn around and see what's behind them. They WILL turn to salt.
MBaca |